Propensity & ScoringADA AsiaProduction

Account Propensity Model

Dual propensity scoring system assigning Base Fit (long-term ICP fit) and 3-Month (short-term conversion likelihood) scores to every account.

Akash Sharma

Akash Sharma

Primary Owner

Apr 2022 – Dec 20241 min read

Daily

Scoring Frequency

4 Tiers

Priority Buckets

Overview

Built two components: (1) Base Fit Propensity: XGBoost Classifier on firmographic features (industry, company size, region, existing customer flag) for long-term ICP fit. (2) 3-Month Propensity: XGBoost Classifier with engagement, funnel stage, activity, journey, and temporal features for short-term conversion likelihood. Feature selection via Feature Importance, Chi-squared test, ANOVA F-test. Heuristic fallback using historical conversion rates for low-data customers.

The problem

Sales and marketing teams worked with large account lists without systematic prioritization, dispersing effort across accounts with low conversion probability.

Results

Enabled High/Medium/Low/Deprioritize bucket assignment for systematic, daily account prioritization across enterprise B2B SaaS customers.

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Tech Stack

PythonXGBoostscikit-learnChi-squaredANOVA F-testBigQuery

Domain Tags

Propensity ModelingAccount PrioritizationICP ScoringRare Event Classification

Details

Role
Primary Owner
Status
Production
Tier
Tier 1
Period
Apr 2022 – Dec 2024
Employment
ADA Asia
More Work

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